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Forecast: bullish reversal/bearish continuation
Trend prior to the pattern: downtrend
Opposite pattern: Last Engulfing Top
See also: Bearish Engulfing
Construction:
- First candle
- a candle in a downtrend
- white body
- Second candle
- black body
- candle’s body engulfs the prior candle’s body
Definition of the Last Engulfing Bottom is exactly the same as of the Bearish Engulfing pattern except the trend requirement. The Bearish Engulfing appears within an uptrend while the Last Engulfing Bottom occurs within a downtrend.
It may be asked why such pattern may reverse a downtrend. Namely, there is a downtrend, but downward momentum somewhat slows down because a small white candle appears. However, the next candle has a long black body, which confirms the bear's strength. Overall most of us intuitively would say that we deal with a bearish continuation pattern.
The Last Engulfing Bottom is a good example to explain that a pattern occurrence is not equivalent to price prediction.
In the case of the Last Engulfing Bottom pattern, its name gives us some hint illustrating how it may work. The pattern should be preceded by a Bearish Engulfing pattern. Then we can expect downtrend reverse if a price is confirmed on the following candles.
If a Last Engulfing Bottom appears alone, that is, it is not preceded by a Bearish Engulfing pattern, a downtrend is likely to be continued. It may be especially true if the following candle closes below the pattern occurrence.
Prediction of trend reversal requires confirmation, i.e. the next candle shall be closed above the pattern.
If volume data is relevant to the analyzed market, it should be considered. If it increases for candles with white bodies, the probability of reversing a downtrend grows.
Last Engulfing Bottom statistics
Below you can find some Last Engulfing Bottom pattern statistics calculated by CandleScanner software. To see more detailed statistics, for other markets and periodicity try our CandleScanner software. Prices start at only $10, and you can see more detailed statistics, for other markets and periodicity. Click here to find out more!
Scanner settings: daily stocks
Group: S&P500
Number of symbols: 502
Date range: 7/1/1995 - 6/30/2015
Time interval: daily candles
Total number of candlesticks: 2,236,421
Number of occurrences (Last Engulfing Bottom): 16,824
Number of occurrences (all candlestick patterns): 638,570
% of occurrences (Last Engulfing Bottom): 2.63 %
Average frequency: 132.9
Efficiency statistics (5 candlesticks testing period)
Efficiency | NO DATA | FALSE | LOW | MEDIUM | HIGH |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Occurrences |
17 | 3,384 | 4,093 | 3,104 | 6,226 |
% of Occurrences |
0.10 % | 20.01 % | 24.33 % | 18.45 % | 37.11 % |
Efficiency | NO DATA | FALSE | LOW | MEDIUM | HIGH |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Occurrences |
29 | 3,278 | 3,179 | 2,519 | 7,819 |
% of Occurrences |
0.17 % | 19.31 % | 18.90 % | 14.97 % | 46.65 % |
Occurrences Statistics | 5 candlesticks testing period (HIGH efficiency) |
10 candlesticks testing period (HIGH efficiency) |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Symbol | Number of Occurrences |
Average Frequency |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
SHW | 39 | 129.1 | 13 | 33.33 % | 28 | 71.80 % |
BEN | 46 | 109.4 | 25 | 54.34 % | 31 | 67.38 % |
DO | 50 | 99.3 | 30 | 60.00 % | 32 | 66.00 % |
GILD | 40 | 125.8 | 25 | 62.50 % | 26 | 65.00 % |
TJX | 40 | 125.9 | 20 | 50.00 % | 26 | 65.00 % |
STT | 50 | 100.7 | 27 | 56.00 % | 31 | 64.00 % |
BHI | 44 | 114.4 | 26 | 59.09 % | 28 | 63.63 % |
HP | 49 | 102.7 | 29 | 59.19 % | 31 | 63.27 % |
MS | 51 | 98.7 | 31 | 60.79 % | 32 | 62.75 % |
EXPD | 39 | 129.0 | 20 | 51.29 % | 24 | 61.54 % |
Occurrences Statistics | 5 candlesticks testing period (FALSE efficiency) |
10 candlesticks testing period (FALSE efficiency) |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Symbol | Number of Occurrences |
Average Frequency |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
SNDK | 49 | 100.9 | 26 | 53.06 % | 26 | 53.06 % |
VRSN | 42 | 104.3 | 17 | 40.48 % | 17 | 40.48 % |
ETN | 43 | 117.1 | 17 | 39.53 % | 17 | 39.53 % |
FFIV | 46 | 87.9 | 18 | 39.13 % | 18 | 39.13 % |
SWKS | 41 | 122.8 | 16 | 39.02 % | 16 | 39.02 % |
VRTX | 42 | 119.8 | 16 | 38.10 % | 16 | 38.10 % |
NTAP | 45 | 109.6 | 17 | 37.78 % | 17 | 37.78 % |
CTXS | 41 | 120.1 | 15 | 36.59 % | 15 | 36.59 % |
NVDA | 52 | 79.5 | 19 | 36.54 % | 19 | 36.54 % |
TSCO | 42 | 119.1 | 15 | 35.71 % | 15 | 35.71 % |
Scanner settings: daily stocks
Group: S&P500
Number of symbols: 502
Date range: 7/1/2010 - 6/30/2015
Time interval: daily candles
Total number of candlesticks: 614,034
Number of occurrences (Last Engulfing Bottom): 4,603
Number of occurrences (all candlestick patterns): 166,328
% of occurrences (Last Engulfing Bottom): 2.77 %
Average frequency: 133.4
Efficiency statistics (5 candlesticks testing period)
Efficiency | NO DATA | FALSE | LOW | MEDIUM | HIGH |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Occurrences |
17 | 568 | 1,382 | 998 | 1,638 |
% of Occurrences |
0.37 % | 11.97 % | 30.02 % | 21.68 % | 35.96 % |
Efficiency | NO DATA | FALSE | LOW | MEDIUM | HIGH |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Occurrences |
29 | 521 | 985 | 792 | 2,276 |
% of Occurrences |
0.63 % | 10.69 % | 21.40 % | 17.21 % | 50.07 % |
Occurrences Statistics | 5 candlesticks testing period (HIGH efficiency) |
10 candlesticks testing period (HIGH efficiency) |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Symbol | Number of Occurrences |
Average Frequency |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
APC | 10 | 125.8 | 6 | 60.00 % | 9 | 90.00 % |
IR | 10 | 125.8 | 5 | 50.00 % | 9 | 90.00 % |
CCE | 12 | 104.8 | 9 | 75.00 % | 10 | 83.34 % |
AME | 11 | 114.4 | 5 | 45.46 % | 9 | 81.82 % |
EXPE | 15 | 83.9 | 10 | 66.66 % | 12 | 80.00 % |
FOSL | 10 | 125.8 | 6 | 60.00 % | 8 | 80.00 % |
MS | 15 | 83.9 | 12 | 80.00 % | 12 | 80.00 % |
MU | 10 | 125.8 | 8 | 80.00 % | 8 | 80.00 % |
AA | 15 | 83.9 | 7 | 53.33 % | 11 | 79.99 % |
RF | 14 | 89.9 | 8 | 57.14 % | 11 | 78.57 % |
Occurrences Statistics | 5 candlesticks testing period (FALSE efficiency) |
10 candlesticks testing period (FALSE efficiency) |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Symbol | Number of Occurrences |
Average Frequency |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
Number of Occurrences |
% of Occurrences |
ETN | 10 | 125.8 | 6 | 60.00 % | 6 | 60.00 % |
REGN | 11 | 114.3 | 5 | 45.45 % | 5 | 45.45 % |
THC | 9 | 139.8 | 4 | 44.44 % | 4 | 44.44 % |
ALTR | 10 | 125.8 | 4 | 40.00 % | 4 | 40.00 % |
DAL | 10 | 125.8 | 4 | 40.00 % | 4 | 40.00 % |
SWKS | 10 | 125.8 | 4 | 40.00 % | 4 | 40.00 % |
UA | 10 | 125.8 | 4 | 40.00 % | 4 | 40.00 % |
LUK | 14 | 89.9 | 5 | 35.71 % | 5 | 35.71 % |
CNX | 15 | 83.9 | 5 | 33.33 % | 5 | 33.33 % |
WMB | 9 | 139.8 | 3 | 33.33 % | 3 | 33.33 % |